The model estimates 2.21 goals for Dover and 1.42 for Chesham. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Dover and 6 for Chesham, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Dover · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Dover is going head to head with Chesham on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 40.
Dover take on Chesham in the England National League South on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Dover are currently placed 11th in the table with 19 points, while Chesham occupy 21st position with 10 points.
Dover come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chesham have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Dover have 1 win against Chesham, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Dover to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.63. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 69%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Dover's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dover have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Dover have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Chesham have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Chesham have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Chesham have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.