The model estimates 1.11 goals for Desenzano and 1.30 for Ospitaletto. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Desenzano and 6 for Ospitaletto, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ospitaletto · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Desenzano is going head to head with Ospitaletto on November 08, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 13.
Desenzano take on Ospitaletto in the Italy Serie C on 8 November 2026 at 20:00.
Desenzano are currently placed 38th in the table with 13 points, while Ospitaletto occupy 13th position with 18 points.
Desenzano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ospitaletto have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Desenzano have 1 win against Ospitaletto.
Prediction: Desenzano and Ospitaletto to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.41. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 51%.




In their last 6 matches, Desenzano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Desenzano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Desenzano have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Ospitaletto have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ospitaletto's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Ospitaletto have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.