The model estimates 1.34 goals for Desenzano and 0.95 for Novara. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Desenzano and 6 for Novara, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Desenzano · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Desenzano is going head to head with Novara on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 31.
Desenzano take on Novara in the Italy Serie C on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Desenzano are currently placed 38th in the table with 13 points, while Novara occupy 49th position with 10 points.
Desenzano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Novara have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Desenzano to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.29. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 47%.
DESNOVDESNOVDESNOVDESNOVDESNOVDESNOVDESNOVDESNOVDESNOVIn their last 6 matches, Desenzano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Desenzano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Desenzano have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Novara have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Novara have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Novara concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
