The model estimates 1.65 goals for Derio and 0.82 for Aurrerá de Vitoria. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derio and 6 for Aurrerá de Vitoria, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derio · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derio is going head to head with Aurrerá de Vitoria on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 30.
Derio take on Aurrerá de Vitoria in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
Derio are currently placed 3rd in the table with 15 points, while Aurrerá de Vitoria occupy 2nd position with 16 points.
Derio come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aurrerá de Vitoria have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Derio have yet to beat Aurrerá de Vitoria, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Derio to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Derio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derio's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Aurrerá de Vitoria's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aurrerá de Vitoria have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Aurrerá de Vitoria have won 4 of their last 6 matches.