The model estimates 1.53 goals for Alaves C and 1.19 for Derio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alaves C and 6 for Derio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derio · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alaves C is going head to head with Derio on April 18, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 31.
Alaves C take on Derio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 18 April 2027 at 00:00.
Alaves C are currently placed 4th in the table with 14 points, while Derio occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Alaves C come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derio have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Alaves C have 2 wins against Derio, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Alaves C to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 56%.
DERDERDERDERDERDERDERDERDERThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Alaves C's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Alaves C's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alaves C have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Derio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derio's last 6 matches.
