The model estimates 1.60 goals for Derby U21 and 3.31 for Southampton U21. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby U21 and 6 for Southampton U21, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southampton U21 · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby U21 is going head to head with Southampton U21 on January 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England Premier League 2.
Derby U21 take on Southampton U21 in the England Premier League 2 on 11 January 2027 at 00:00.
Derby U21 are currently placed 18th in the table with 7 points, while Southampton U21 occupy 2nd position with 13 points.
Derby U21 come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southampton U21 have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Southampton U21 have 4 wins against Derby U21, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Southampton U21 to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 1-3. Avg goals: 4.91. Over 2.5: 87%. BTTS: 77%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Derby U21's last 6 matches.
Derby U21 have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby U21's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Southampton U21 have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Southampton U21 have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Southampton U21's last 6 matches.