The model estimates 3.08 goals for Bournemouth U21 and 1.69 for Derby U21. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bournemouth U21 and 6 for Derby U21, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bournemouth U21 · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bournemouth U21 is going head to head with Derby U21 on January 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England Premier League 2.
Bournemouth U21 take on Derby U21 in the England Premier League 2 on 15 January 2027 at 00:00.
Bournemouth U21 are currently placed 9th in the table with 10 points, while Derby U21 occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Bournemouth U21 come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby U21 have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Bournemouth U21 have 2 wins against Derby U21.
Prediction: Bournemouth U21 to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.77. Over 2.5: 85%. BTTS: 78%.




In their last 6 matches, Bournemouth U21 have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Bournemouth U21's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Bournemouth U21's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Derby U21's last 6 matches.
Derby U21 have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby U21's last 6 matches.