The model estimates 1.56 goals for Derby U18 and 2.30 for Newcastle Utd U18. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby U18 and 6 for Newcastle Utd U18, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Newcastle Utd U18 · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby U18 is going head to head with Newcastle Utd U18 on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League U18.
Derby U18 take on Newcastle Utd U18 in the Premier League U18 on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Derby U18 are currently placed 13th in the table with 13 points, while Newcastle Utd U18 occupy 8th position with 18 points.
Derby U18 come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Newcastle Utd U18 have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 27 recorded meetings, Derby U18 have 13 wins against Newcastle Utd U18, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Newcastle Utd U18 to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.86. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 72%.


In their last 6 matches, Derby U18 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby U18's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Derby U18's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Newcastle Utd U18's last 6 matches.
Newcastle Utd U18 have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Newcastle Utd U18 have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.