The model estimates 2.36 goals for Nottingham U18 and 1.02 for Derby U18. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nottingham U18 and 6 for Derby U18, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Nottingham U18 · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nottingham U18 is going head to head with Derby U18 on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League U18.
Nottingham U18 take on Derby U18 in the Premier League U18 on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Nottingham U18 are currently placed 9th in the table with 17 points, while Derby U18 occupy 13th position with 13 points.
Nottingham U18 come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby U18 have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Derby U18 have 8 wins against Nottingham U18, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Nottingham U18 to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.37. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 59%.
NOTDERNOTDERNOTDERNOTDERNOTDERNOTDERNOTDERNOTDERNOTDERIn their last 6 matches, Nottingham U18 have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Nottingham U18's last 6 matches.
Nottingham U18 have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Derby U18's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby U18's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Derby U18 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
