The model estimates 1.06 goals for Derby and 1.06 for Bristol City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby and 6 for Bristol City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derby · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby is going head to head with Bristol City on December 09, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of Championship — Round 20.
Derby take on Bristol City in the Championship on 9 December 2026 at 19:45.
Derby are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while Bristol City occupy 15th position with 15 points.
Derby come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bristol City have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Derby and Bristol City to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.12. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 45%.
DERBRIDERBRIDERBRIDERBRIDERBRIDERBRIDERBRIDERBRIDERBRIDerby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Bristol City's last 6 matches.
Bristol City have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Bristol City have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
