The model estimates 1.80 goals for Darlington and 2.25 for Bury. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Darlington and 6 for Bury, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bury · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Darlington is going head to head with Bury on November 14, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Fa Trophy — 1/64-finals.
Darlington take on Bury in the England Fa Trophy on 14 November 2026 at 15:00.
Darlington come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bury have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 23 recorded meetings, Darlington have 8 wins against Bury, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Bury to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.05. Over 2.5: 77%. BTTS: 76%.
DARBURDARBURDARBURDARBURDARBURDARBURDARBURDARBURDARBURDarlington have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Darlington have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Darlington's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Bury's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Bury's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bury have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
