The model estimates 2.15 goals for Tonbridge and 1.42 for Dorking. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Tonbridge and 6 for Dorking, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Tonbridge · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Tonbridge is going head to head with Dorking on December 05, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 20.
Tonbridge take on Dorking in the England National League South on 5 December 2026 at 15:00.
Tonbridge are currently placed 7th in the table with 21 points, while Dorking occupy 8th position with 20 points.
Tonbridge come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dorking have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Tonbridge have 6 wins against Dorking, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Tonbridge to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.56. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 68%.




In their last 6 matches, Tonbridge have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Tonbridge have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Tonbridge's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Dorking's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dorking have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Dorking's last 6 matches.