The model estimates 1.16 goals for Arda and 2.10 for CSKA-Sofia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arda and 6 for CSKA-Sofia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CSKA-Sofia · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arda is going head to head with CSKA-Sofia on March 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 22.
Arda take on CSKA-Sofia in the Parva Liga on 13 March 2027 at 00:00.
Arda are currently placed 6th in the table with 17 points, while CSKA-Sofia occupy 4th position with 24 points.
Arda come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CSKA-Sofia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, CSKA-Sofia have 14 wins against Arda, with 6 draws.
Prediction: CSKA-Sofia to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.26. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 61%.




Arda have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Arda concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Arda have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
CSKA-Sofia are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, CSKA-Sofia have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of CSKA-Sofia's last 6 matches.