The model estimates 2.72 goals for Constancia and 0.59 for Mercadal. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Constancia and 6 for Mercadal, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Constancia · 73%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Constancia is going head to head with Mercadal on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 11 — Round 22.
Constancia take on Mercadal in the Spain Tercera Division Group 11 on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Constancia are currently placed 2nd in the table with 17 points, while Mercadal occupy 12th position with 8 points.
Constancia come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mercadal have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 23 recorded meetings, Constancia have 10 wins against Mercadal, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Constancia to win with probability 74%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.30. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 42%.
In their last 6 matches, Constancia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Constancia have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Constancia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Mercadal have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mercadal's last 6 matches.
Mercadal have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.