The model estimates 1.74 goals for Mercadal and 1.51 for Alcúdia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mercadal and 6 for Alcúdia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mercadal · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mercadal is going head to head with Alcúdia on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 11 — Round 23.
Mercadal take on Alcúdia in the Spain Tercera Division Group 11 on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Mercadal are currently placed 12th in the table with 8 points, while Alcúdia occupy 11th position with 9 points.
Mercadal come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alcúdia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 23 recorded meetings, Alcúdia have 10 wins against Mercadal, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Mercadal to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.25. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 66%.


Mercadal have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mercadal's last 6 matches.
Mercadal have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Alcúdia concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Alcúdia have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.
Alcúdia have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.