The model estimates 1.13 goals for Concarneau and 1.34 for Fleury-Merogis. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Concarneau and 6 for Fleury-Merogis, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fleury-Merogis · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Concarneau is going head to head with Fleury-Merogis on November 07, 2026 at 16:45. This match is part of France National — Round 12.
Concarneau take on Fleury-Merogis in the France National on 7 November 2026 at 16:45.
Concarneau are currently placed 6th in the table with 17 points, while Fleury-Merogis occupy 5th position with 18 points.
Concarneau come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fleury-Merogis have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Concarneau have 2 wins against Fleury-Merogis, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Fleury-Merogis to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.




Concarneau are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Concarneau have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Concarneau's last 6 matches.
Fleury-Merogis are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Fleury-Merogis have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Fleury-Merogis have won 5 of their last 6 matches.