The model estimates 2.22 goals for Chorley and 1.03 for Southport. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chorley and 6 for Southport, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chorley · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chorley is going head to head with Southport on April 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 43.
Chorley take on Southport in the England National League North on 3 April 2027 at 00:00.
Chorley are currently placed 11th in the table with 20 points, while Southport occupy 23rd position with 10 points.
Chorley come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southport have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Chorley have 6 wins against Southport, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Chorley to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.25. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 59%.




In their last 6 matches, Chorley have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Southport have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Southport's last 6 matches.
Southport have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.