The model estimates 1.34 goals for Chiangmai Utd and 1.02 for Nakhon Pathom. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chiangmai Utd and 6 for Nakhon Pathom, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chiangmai Utd · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chiangmai Utd is going head to head with Nakhon Pathom on November 21, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Thai League 2 — Round 11.
Chiangmai Utd take on Nakhon Pathom in the Thai League 2 on 21 November 2026 at 14:30.
Chiangmai Utd are currently placed 11th in the table with 13 points, while Nakhon Pathom occupy 8th position with 14 points.
Chiangmai Utd come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nakhon Pathom have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Chiangmai Utd have 3 wins against Nakhon Pathom, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Chiangmai Utd to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.36. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Chiangmai Utd have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Chiangmai Utd have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Chiangmai Utd's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nakhon Pathom have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Nakhon Pathom score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Nakhon Pathom concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.