The model estimates 1.72 goals for Chesterfield and 0.95 for Swindon Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chesterfield and 6 for Swindon Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chesterfield · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chesterfield is going head to head with Swindon Town on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 45.
Chesterfield take on Swindon Town in the League Two on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Chesterfield are currently placed 7th in the table with 19 points, while Swindon Town occupy 13th position with 16 points.
Chesterfield come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Swindon Town have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 25 recorded meetings, Swindon Town have 12 wins against Chesterfield, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Chesterfield to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.67. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 52%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Chesterfield's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chesterfield have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chesterfield have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Swindon Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Swindon Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.