The model estimates 1.12 goals for Exeter City and 0.77 for Chesterfield. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Exeter City and 6 for Chesterfield, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Exeter City · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Exeter City is going head to head with Chesterfield on May 08, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 46.
Exeter City take on Chesterfield in the League Two on 8 May 2027 at 00:00.
Exeter City are currently placed 8th in the table with 19 points, while Chesterfield occupy 7th position with 19 points.
Exeter City come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chesterfield have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 15 recorded meetings, Chesterfield have 9 wins against Exeter City, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Exeter City to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.89. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 38%.




Exeter City are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Exeter City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Chesterfield's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chesterfield have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chesterfield have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.