The model estimates 1.23 goals for Port Vale and 0.94 for Gillingham. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Port Vale and 6 for Gillingham, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Port Vale · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Port Vale is going head to head with Gillingham on January 19, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 26.
Port Vale take on Gillingham in the League Two on 19 January 2027 at 00:00.
Port Vale are currently placed 23rd in the table with 12 points, while Gillingham occupy 11th position with 17 points.
Port Vale come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gillingham have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 25 recorded meetings, Port Vale have 9 wins against Gillingham, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Port Vale to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.17. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 45%.




In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Port Vale's last 6 matches.
Port Vale have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Gillingham's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gillingham have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Gillingham have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.