The model estimates 1.54 goals for Cherno More and 1.46 for Arda. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cherno More and 6 for Arda, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Cherno More · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cherno More is going head to head with Arda on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 23.
Cherno More take on Arda in the Parva Liga on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Cherno More are currently placed 13th in the table with 9 points, while Arda occupy 6th position with 18 points.
Cherno More come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arda have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Cherno More have yet to beat Arda, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Cherno More to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.00. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.




Cherno More have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Cherno More's last 6 matches.
Cherno More concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Arda have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Arda's last 6 matches.
Arda concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.