The model estimates 1.72 goals for Arda and 0.96 for Spartak Varna. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arda and 6 for Spartak Varna, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arda · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arda is going head to head with Spartak Varna on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 26.
Arda take on Spartak Varna in the Parva Liga on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Arda are currently placed 6th in the table with 18 points, while Spartak Varna occupy 7th position with 13 points.
Arda come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Spartak Varna have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Arda have 4 wins against Spartak Varna, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Arda to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.69. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 52%.
ARDSPAARDSPAARDSPAARDSPAARDSPAARDSPAARDSPAARDSPAARDSPAArda have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Arda's last 6 matches.
Arda concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Spartak Varna's last 6 matches.
Spartak Varna have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spartak Varna have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
