The model estimates 3.86 goals for Chelsea U18 and 1.01 for Birmingham U18. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chelsea U18 and 6 for Birmingham U18, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
A pre-kickoff record will appear once a valid calculation has been saved. No performance claim is made yet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chelsea U18 is going head to head with Birmingham U18 on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League U18.
Chelsea U18 take on Birmingham U18 in the Premier League U18 on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Chelsea U18 are currently placed 1st in the table with 21 points, while Birmingham U18 occupy 32nd position with 3 points.
Chelsea U18 come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Birmingham U18 have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Chelsea U18 have 5 wins against Birmingham U18.
Prediction: Chelsea U18 to win with probability 75%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.88. Over 2.5: 86%. BTTS: 63%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Chelsea U18's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chelsea U18 have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Chelsea U18 have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Birmingham U18 have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Birmingham U18 have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Birmingham U18's last 6 matches.