The model estimates 1.26 goals for Chelmsford and 1.74 for Ebbsfleet. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chelmsford and 6 for Ebbsfleet, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ebbsfleet · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chelmsford is going head to head with Ebbsfleet on November 09, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of England National League South — Round 3.
Chelmsford take on Ebbsfleet in the England National League South on 9 November 2026 at 19:45.
Chelmsford are currently placed 13th in the table with 18 points, while Ebbsfleet occupy 1st position with 28 points.
Chelmsford come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ebbsfleet have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, Ebbsfleet have 13 wins against Chelmsford, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Ebbsfleet to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 61%.




In their last 6 matches, Chelmsford have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Chelmsford have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Chelmsford's last 6 matches.
Ebbsfleet are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ebbsfleet have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ebbsfleet have won 5 of their last 6 matches.