The model estimates 0.72 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.92 for Southampton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Charlton Athletic and 6 for Southampton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southampton · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Charlton Athletic is going head to head with Southampton on December 26, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 23.
Charlton Athletic take on Southampton in the Championship on 26 December 2026 at 18:00.
Charlton Athletic are currently placed 19th in the table with 14 points, while Southampton occupy 2nd position with 24 points.
Charlton Athletic come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southampton have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 31 recorded meetings, Southampton have 11 wins against Charlton Athletic, with 14 draws.
Prediction: Southampton to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.64. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 45%.
CHASOUCHASOUCHASOUCHASOUCHASOUCHASOUCHASOUCHASOUCHASOUCharlton Athletic have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Charlton Athletic's last 6 matches.
Charlton Athletic have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Southampton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Southampton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Southampton have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
