The model estimates 2.03 goals for Southampton and 1.30 for West Ham. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Southampton and 6 for West Ham, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southampton · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Southampton is going head to head with West Ham on December 29, 2026 at 23:15. This match is part of Championship — Round 24.
Southampton take on West Ham in the Championship on 29 December 2026 at 23:15.
Southampton are currently placed 2nd in the table with 24 points, while West Ham occupy 4th position with 22 points.
Southampton come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas West Ham have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 82 recorded meetings, West Ham have 30 wins against Southampton, with 24 draws.
Prediction: Southampton to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.32. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 64%.
SOUWESSOUWESSOUWESSOUWESSOUWESSOUWESSOUWESSOUWESSOUWESIn their last 6 matches, Southampton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Southampton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Southampton have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, West Ham have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
West Ham have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of West Ham's last 6 matches.
