The model estimates 1.53 goals for Chapecoense-SC and 1.49 for Vasco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chapecoense-SC and 6 for Vasco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chapecoense-SC is going head to head with Vasco on July 29, 2026 at 20:00. Played at Arena Condá Chapecó. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 21.
Chapecoense-SC take on Vasco in the Serie A Betano at Arena Condá Chapecó on 29 July 2026 at 20:00.
Chapecoense-SC are currently placed 19th in the table with 1 points, while Vasco occupy 17th position with 1 points.
Chapecoense-SC come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vasco have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Chapecoense-SC have 2 wins against Vasco, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Chapecoense-SC to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.03. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.




Chapecoense-SC have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Chapecoense-SC's last 6 matches.
Chapecoense-SC concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Vasco have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Vasco have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Vasco concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.