The model estimates 1.95 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.13 for Osasuna. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rayo Vallecano and 6 for Osasuna, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Rayo Vallecano · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rayo Vallecano is going head to head with Osasuna on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 27.
Rayo Vallecano take on Osasuna in the LaLiga on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Rayo Vallecano are currently placed 15th in the table with 9 points, while Osasuna occupy 12th position with 11 points.
Rayo Vallecano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Osasuna have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 38 recorded meetings, Osasuna have 15 wins against Rayo Vallecano, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.09. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 59%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Osasuna have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Osasuna have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Osasuna's last 6 matches.