The model estimates 0.99 goals for CDC Montalegre and 0.71 for Celoricense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CDC Montalegre and 6 for Celoricense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CDC Montalegre · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CDC Montalegre is going head to head with Celoricense on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 14.
CDC Montalegre take on Celoricense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
CDC Montalegre are currently placed 20th in the table with 8 points, while Celoricense occupy 25th position with 8 points.
CDC Montalegre come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Celoricense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, CDC Montalegre have yet to beat Celoricense, with 1 draw.
Prediction: CDC Montalegre to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.70. Over 2.5: 24%. BTTS: 34%.




In their last 6 matches, CDC Montalegre have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
CDC Montalegre have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of CDC Montalegre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Celoricense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Celoricense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Celoricense's last 6 matches.