The model estimates 1.65 goals for CD Santa Marta and 1.07 for Palencia CF (Esp). These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CD Santa Marta and 6 for Palencia CF (Esp), before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CD Santa Marta · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CD Santa Marta is going head to head with Palencia CF (Esp) on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 8 — Round 21.
CD Santa Marta take on Palencia CF (Esp) in the Spain Tercera Division Group 8 on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
CD Santa Marta are currently placed 4th in the table with 17 points, while Palencia CF (Esp) occupy 5th position with 14 points.
CD Santa Marta come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Palencia CF (Esp) have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Palencia CF (Esp) have 1 win against CD Santa Marta.
Prediction: CD Santa Marta to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.72. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 55%.


In their last 6 matches, CD Santa Marta have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
CD Santa Marta have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
CD Santa Marta have won 5 of their last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Palencia CF (Esp) have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Palencia CF (Esp)'s last 6 matches.
Palencia CF (Esp) score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.