The model estimates 0.94 goals for CD Santa Marta and 0.90 for Palencia CA. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CD Santa Marta and 6 for Palencia CA, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CD Santa Marta · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CD Santa Marta is going head to head with Palencia CA on November 22, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 8 — Round 12.
CD Santa Marta take on Palencia CA in the Spain Tercera Division Group 8 on 22 November 2026 at 20:00.
CD Santa Marta are currently placed 4th in the table with 17 points, while Palencia CA occupy 1st position with 19 points.
CD Santa Marta come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Palencia CA have 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: CD Santa Marta and Palencia CA to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.84. Over 2.5: 28%. BTTS: 38%.
In their last 6 matches, CD Santa Marta have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
CD Santa Marta have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
CD Santa Marta have won 5 of their last 6 home matches.
Palencia CA are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Palencia CA have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Palencia CA have won 6 of their last 6 matches.