The model estimates 1.66 goals for Cayon and 0.54 for Castro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cayon and 6 for Castro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Cayon · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cayon is going head to head with Castro on November 22, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 12.
Cayon take on Castro in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 22 November 2026 at 20:00.
Cayon are currently placed 5th in the table with 17 points, while Castro occupy 10th position with 8 points.
Cayon come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castro have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Cayon have 12 wins against Castro, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Cayon to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.20. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 35%.
Cayon are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cayon have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Cayon's last 6 matches.
Castro have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro's last 6 matches.
