The model estimates 1.05 goals for Castro and 1.84 for UD Sámano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castro and 6 for UD Sámano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: UD Sámano · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castro is going head to head with UD Sámano on November 29, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 13.
Castro take on UD Sámano in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 29 November 2026 at 20:00.
Castro are currently placed 10th in the table with 8 points, while UD Sámano occupy 7th position with 13 points.
Castro come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas UD Sámano have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 12 recorded meetings, UD Sámano have 4 wins against Castro, with 5 draws.
Prediction: UD Sámano to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.89. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 56%.


Castro have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro's last 6 matches.
UD Sámano are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, UD Sámano have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of UD Sámano's last 6 matches.