The model estimates 1.26 goals for Catania and 0.85 for Bari. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Catania and 6 for Bari, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Catania · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Catania is going head to head with Bari on November 22, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 15.
Catania take on Bari in the Italy Serie C on 22 November 2026 at 20:00.
Catania are currently placed 11th in the table with 19 points, while Bari occupy 8th position with 21 points.
Catania come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bari have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Catania to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.12. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 43%.




In their last 6 matches, Catania have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Catania's last 6 matches.
Catania have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bari have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Bari's last 6 matches.
Bari have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.