The model estimates 1.17 goals for Virtus Casarano and 1.69 for Catania. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Virtus Casarano and 6 for Catania, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Catania · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Virtus Casarano is going head to head with Catania on November 29, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 16.
Virtus Casarano take on Catania in the Italy Serie C on 29 November 2026 at 20:00.
Virtus Casarano are currently placed 37th in the table with 14 points, while Catania occupy 11th position with 19 points.
Virtus Casarano come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Catania have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Virtus Casarano have 1 win against Catania, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Catania to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.86. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 58%.




Virtus Casarano have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Virtus Casarano's last 6 matches.
Virtus Casarano concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Catania have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Catania's last 6 matches.
Catania have won 4 of their last 6 matches.