The model estimates 1.36 goals for Calahorra and 0.72 for Varea. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Calahorra and 6 for Varea, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Calahorra · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Calahorra is going head to head with Varea on November 15, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 11.
Calahorra take on Varea in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 15 November 2026 at 19:00.
Calahorra are currently placed 5th in the table with 15 points, while Varea occupy 3rd position with 16 points.
Calahorra come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Varea have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, Calahorra have 8 wins against Varea, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Calahorra to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.08. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 40%.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Calahorra's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Calahorra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Calahorra have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Varea are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Varea have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Varea's last 6 matches.