The model estimates 1.55 goals for Varea and 0.36 for Yague. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Varea and 6 for Yague, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Varea · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Varea is going head to head with Yague on December 06, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 14.
Varea take on Yague in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 6 December 2026 at 19:00.
Varea are currently placed 3rd in the table with 16 points, while Yague occupy 15th position with 6 points.
Varea come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Yague have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Varea have 12 wins against Yague, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Varea to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.91. Over 2.5: 30%. BTTS: 25%.
Varea are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Varea have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Varea's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Yague's last 6 matches.
Yague have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Yague have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
