The model estimates 1.47 goals for Darlington and 1.69 for Chorley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Darlington and 6 for Chorley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chorley · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Darlington is going head to head with Chorley on February 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 35.
Darlington take on Chorley in the England National League North on 23 February 2027 at 00:00.
Darlington are currently placed 22nd in the table with 11 points, while Chorley occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Darlington come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chorley have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Chorley have 9 wins against Darlington, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Chorley to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.16. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 64%.




Darlington have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Darlington's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chorley have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.