The model estimates 0.79 goals for Braga and 1.09 for Arouca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Braga and 6 for Arouca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arouca · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Braga is going head to head with Arouca on December 06, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 13.
Braga take on Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 6 December 2026 at 19:00.
Braga are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Arouca occupy 5th position with 17 points.
Braga come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arouca have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Braga and Arouca to draw with probability 33%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.88. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 38%.




Braga have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Braga's last 6 matches.
Braga have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arouca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arouca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Arouca have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.