The model estimates 1.97 goals for Botafogo RJ and 1.13 for Gremio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Botafogo RJ and 6 for Gremio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Botafogo RJ is going head to head with Gremio on July 29, 2026 at 20:00. Played at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos Rio de Janeiro. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 21.
Botafogo RJ take on Gremio in the Serie A Betano at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos Rio de Janeiro on 29 July 2026 at 20:00.
Botafogo RJ are currently placed 2nd in the table with 6 points, while Gremio occupy 15th position with 1 points.
Botafogo RJ come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gremio have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 68 recorded meetings, Gremio have 28 wins against Botafogo RJ, with 18 draws.
Prediction: Botafogo RJ to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.10. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 60%.




In their last 6 matches, Botafogo RJ have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Botafogo RJ have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Botafogo RJ's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Gremio's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gremio have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Gremio have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.