The model estimates 2.17 goals for Gemert and 1.74 for Dongen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gemert and 6 for Dongen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gemert · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gemert is going head to head with Dongen on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 20.
Gemert take on Dongen in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Gemert are currently placed 20th in the table with 13 points, while Dongen occupy 17th position with 16 points.
Gemert come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dongen have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Gemert have 4 wins against Dongen, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Gemert to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.92. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 74%.




In their last 6 matches, Gemert have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Gemert have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Gemert's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Dongen's last 6 matches.
Dongen have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Dongen have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.