The model estimates 1.65 goals for Birmingham W and 1.37 for Aston Villa W. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Birmingham W and 6 for Aston Villa W, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Birmingham W · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Birmingham W is going head to head with Aston Villa W on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England Womens Super League — Round 17.
Birmingham W take on Aston Villa W in the England Womens Super League on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Birmingham W are currently placed 11th in the table with 6 points, while Aston Villa W occupy 8th position with 9 points.
Birmingham W come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aston Villa W have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Birmingham W have 3 wins against Aston Villa W, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Birmingham W to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.02. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.




In their last 6 matches, Birmingham W have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Birmingham W have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Birmingham W's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa W have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Aston Villa W's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Aston Villa W's last 6 matches.