The model estimates 2.11 goals for Birmingham City and 0.59 for Watford. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Birmingham City and 6 for Watford, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Birmingham City · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Birmingham City is going head to head with Watford on December 08, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 20.
Birmingham City take on Watford in the Championship on 8 December 2026 at 20:00.
Birmingham City are currently placed 7th in the table with 20 points, while Watford occupy 21st position with 11 points.
Birmingham City come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Watford have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 39 recorded meetings, Watford have 20 wins against Birmingham City, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Birmingham City to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 40%.




In their last 6 matches, Birmingham City have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Birmingham City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Birmingham City's last 6 matches.
Watford have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Watford have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Watford concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.