The model estimates 2.21 goals for QPR and 0.72 for Watford. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for QPR and 6 for Watford, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: QPR · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
QPR is going head to head with Watford on December 12, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of Championship — Round 21.
QPR take on Watford in the Championship on 12 December 2026 at 12:30.
QPR are currently placed 8th in the table with 20 points, while Watford occupy 21st position with 11 points.
QPR come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Watford have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 41 recorded meetings, QPR have 16 wins against Watford, with 9 draws.
Prediction: QPR to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.93. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 matches, QPR have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
QPR have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of QPR's last 6 matches.
Watford have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Watford have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Watford concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.