The model estimates 1.61 goals for Barrow and 1.34 for Carlisle. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Barrow and 6 for Carlisle, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Barrow · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Barrow is going head to head with Carlisle on November 21, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 18.
Barrow take on Carlisle in the England National League on 21 November 2026 at 15:00.
Barrow are currently placed 7th in the table with 27 points, while Carlisle occupy 9th position with 23 points.
Barrow come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Carlisle have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Carlisle have 6 wins against Barrow, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Barrow to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.95. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 61%.




Barrow are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Barrow have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Barrow have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Carlisle have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Carlisle's last 6 matches.