The model estimates 2.58 goals for Azam and 0.68 for Kagera Sugar. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Azam and 6 for Kagera Sugar, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Azam · 67%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Azam is going head to head with Kagera Sugar on March 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 25.
Azam take on Kagera Sugar in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 13 March 2027 at 00:00.
Azam are currently placed 2nd in the table with 20 points, while Kagera Sugar occupy 15th position with 6 points.
Azam come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kagera Sugar have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Azam have 1 win against Kagera Sugar.
Prediction: Azam to win with probability 70%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.26. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 matches, Azam have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Azam have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Azam's last 6 matches.
Kagera Sugar have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Kagera Sugar's last 6 matches.
Kagera Sugar have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.