The model estimates 1.81 goals for Groningen and 1.83 for Heerenveen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Groningen and 6 for Heerenveen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Groningen · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Groningen is going head to head with Heerenveen on November 22, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 13.
Groningen take on Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on 22 November 2026 at 19:00.
Groningen are currently placed 8th in the table with 15 points, while Heerenveen occupy 7th position with 15 points.
Groningen come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Heerenveen have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 63 recorded meetings, Heerenveen have 30 wins against Groningen, with 17 draws.
Prediction: Groningen to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.64. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 71%.




In their last 6 matches, Groningen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Heerenveen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Heerenveen's last 6 matches.
Heerenveen have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.