The model estimates 1.76 goals for Ayr and 0.88 for Morton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ayr and 6 for Morton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ayr · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ayr is going head to head with Morton on December 26, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 20.
Ayr take on Morton in the Scottish Championship on 26 December 2026 at 18:00.
Ayr are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Morton occupy 9th position with 7 points.
Ayr come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Morton have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ayr have yet to beat Morton, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Ayr to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.63. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 50%.




Ayr have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ayr's last 6 matches.
Morton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Morton have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Morton concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.