The model estimates 1.02 goals for Avellino and 1.18 for Mantova. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Avellino and 6 for Mantova, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mantova · 34%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Avellino is going head to head with Mantova on November 21, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 12.
Avellino take on Mantova in the Serie B on 21 November 2026 at 17:00.
Avellino are currently placed 12th in the table with 11 points, while Mantova occupy 4th position with 17 points.
Avellino come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mantova have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Avellino and Mantova to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.20. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 46%.




Avellino have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Avellino's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Avellino's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mantova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Mantova's last 6 matches.
Mantova are on a run of 4 consecutive undefeated away matches.